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Cover image of COVID-19 and World Order
Cover image of COVID-19 and World Order
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COVID-19 and World Order

The Future of Conflict, Competition, and Cooperation

edited by Hal Brands and Francis J. Gavin
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Leading global experts, brought together by Johns Hopkins University, discuss national and international trends in a post-COVID-19 world.

The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has killed hundreds of thousands of people and infected millions while also devastating the world economy. The consequences of the pandemic, however, go much further: they threaten the fabric of national and international politics around the world. As Henry Kissinger warned, "The coronavirus epidemic will forever alter the world order."

What will be the consequences of the pandemic, and what will a post-COVID world order look...

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Leading global experts, brought together by Johns Hopkins University, discuss national and international trends in a post-COVID-19 world.

The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has killed hundreds of thousands of people and infected millions while also devastating the world economy. The consequences of the pandemic, however, go much further: they threaten the fabric of national and international politics around the world. As Henry Kissinger warned, "The coronavirus epidemic will forever alter the world order."

What will be the consequences of the pandemic, and what will a post-COVID world order look like? No institution is better suited to address these issues than Johns Hopkins University, which has convened experts from within and outside of the university to discuss world order after COVID-19. In a series of essays, international experts in public health and medicine, economics, international security, technology, ethics, democracy, and governance imagine a bold new vision for our future.

Essayists include: Graham Allison, Anne Applebaum, Philip Bobbitt, Hal Brands, Elizabeth Economy, Jessica Fanzo, Henry Farrell, Peter Feaver, Niall Ferguson, Christine Fox, Jeremy A. Greene, Hahrie Han, Kathleen H. Hicks, William Inboden, Tom Inglesby, Jeffrey P. Kahn, John Lipsky, Margaret MacMillan, Anna C. Mastroianni, Lainie Rutkow, Kori Schake, Eric Schmidt, Thayer Scott, Benn Steil, Janice Gross Stein, James B. Steinberg, Johannes Urpelainen, Dora Vargha, Sridhar Venkatapuram, and Thomas Wright.

In collaboration with and appreciation of the book's co-editors, Professors Hal Brands and Francis J. Gavin of the Johns Hopkins SAIS Henry A. Kissinger Center for Global Affairs, Johns Hopkins University Press is pleased to donate funds to the Maryland Food Bank, in support of the university's food distribution efforts in East Baltimore during this period of food insecurity due to COVID-19 pandemic hardships.

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Reviews

Hal Brands and Frank Gavin have assembled an all-star cast of writers to peer into the future of world order after COVID-19—what it means for US-China relations, American grand strategy, technological innovation and competition, global public health, and many other subjects. If you want to know how the world will change—and how it won't—after COVID, you cannot afford to miss this book. It is a must-read.

— Stephen J. Hadley, former national security advisor to President George W. Bush

The post-COVID world will raise profound challenges for policy makers in Washington and around the world. This outstanding volume brings together insights from visionary thinkers from a broad range of disciplines to help us navigate this uncharted territory.

— Ambassador Susan E. Rice, former national security advisor to President Barack Obama

The COVID-19 crisis has made it clear that the international order has reached a historic inflection point. This book provides an excellent tour de horizon of current and future global challenges, as well as thoughtful debates about how the United States can navigate an increasingly complex world.

— Jake Sullivan, former national security advisor to Vice President Joe Biden

COVID-19 attacked the world at a time when the international system was already under great stress. This volume brings together the best minds, from across the disciplines, to understand why the world was fracturing before COVID and how we might construct a more effective and just world order after COVID. An essential read.

— Lawrence H. Summers, Charles W. Eliot Professor at Harvard University and former treasury secretary of the United States
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6
x
9
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472
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9781421440736
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Table of Contents

Foreword, by Ronald J. Daniels
Acknowledgments
[Introduction] COVID-19 and World Order
Hal Brands and Francis J. Gavin
Part I. Applied History and Future Scenarios
Chapter 1. Ends of Epidemics
Jeremy A

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Foreword, by Ronald J. Daniels
Acknowledgments
[Introduction] COVID-19 and World Order
Hal Brands and Francis J. Gavin
Part I. Applied History and Future Scenarios
Chapter 1. Ends of Epidemics
Jeremy A. Greene and Dora Vargha
Chapter 2. The World after COVID: A Perspective from History
Margaret MacMillan
Chapter 3. Future Scenarios: "We are all failed states, now"
Philip Bobbitt
Part II. Global Public Health and Mitigation Strategies
Chapter 4. Make Pandemics Lose Their Power
Tom Inglesby
Chapter 5. Origins of the COVID-19 Pandemic and the Path Forward: A Global Public Health Policy Perspective
Lainie Rutkow
Chapter 6. Bioethics in a Post-COVID World: Time for Future-Facing Global Health Ethics
Jeffrey P. Kahn, Anna C. Mastroianni, and Sridhar Venkatapuram
Part III. Transnational Issues: Technology, Climate, and Food
Chapter 7. Global Climate and Energy Policy after the COVID-19 Pandemic: The Tug-of-War between Markets and Politics
Johannes Urpelainen
Chapter 8. No Food Security, No World Order
Jessica Fanzo
Chapter 9. Flat No Longer: Technology in the Post-COVID World
Christine Fox and Thayer Scott
Part IV. The Future of the Global Economy
Chapter 10. Models for a Post-COVID US Foreign Economic Policy
Benn Steil
Chapter 11. Prospects for the United States' Post-COVID-19 Policies: Strengthening the G20 Leaders Process
John Lipsky
Part V. Global Politics and Governance
Chapter 12. When the World Stumbled: COVID-19 and the Failure of the International System
Anne Applebaum
Chapter 13. Public Governance and Global Politics after COVID-19
Henry Farrell and Hahrie Han
Chapter 14. Take It Off-Site: World Order and International Institutions after COVID-19
Janice Gross Stein
Chapter 15. A "Good Enough" World Order: A Gardener's Manual
James B. Steinberg
Part VI. Grand Strategy and American Statecraft
Chapter 16. Maybe It Won't Be So Bad: A Modestly Optimistic Take on COVID and World Order
Hal Brands, Peter Feaver, and William Inboden
Chapter 17. COVID-19's Impact on Great-Power Competition
Thomas Wright
Chapter 18. Building a More Globalized Order
Kori Schake
Chapter 19. Could the Pandemic Reshape World Order, American Security, and National Defense?
Kathleen H. Hicks
Part VII. Sino-American Rivalry
Chapter 20. The United States, China, and the Great Values Game
Elizabeth Economy
Chapter 21. The US-China Relationship after Coronavirus: Clues from History
Graham Allison
Chapter 22. Building a New Technological Relationship and Rivalry: US-China Relations in the Aftermath of COVID
Eric Schmidt
Chapter 23. From COVID War to Cold War: The New Three-Body Problem
Niall Ferguson
Index

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Author Bios
Featured Contributor

Hal Brands

Hal Brands is the Henry A. Kissinger Distinguished Professor of Global Affairs at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS) and a scholar at the American Enterprise Institute. A columnist for Bloomberg Opinion, he is also the author or editor of several books, including The New Makers of Modern Strategy: From the Ancient World to the Digital Age, The Twilight Struggle: What...
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Featured Contributor

Francis J. Gavin Ph.D.

Francis J. Gavin is the Giovanni Agnelli Distinguished Professor and the inaugural director of the Henry A. Kissinger Center for Global Affairs at the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS). Gavin is also the chairman of the Board of Editors of Texas National Security Review. He is the author of Gold, Dollars, and Power: The Politics of International Monetary...
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